4/3/07 Review: Nasdaq, DOW, SP 500, GOOG, RIMM

It was a very nice day for the markets!! The DOW closed above 12500; Nasdaq closed above 2450; and, SPX, or the SP 500, added more than 13 points! The major indices are ready to break some immediate resistance and perhaps retest the highs reached in February. SOX added more than 3, and, we definitely need to see the semiconductors rally more! SOX needs to break out of the range that it's been stuck in for years, shown in my entry on 3/31/07.

So, let's take a look at some charts and see where we stand: Nasdaq came near the immediate resistance at around 2457. It needs to break that and catch up with the upper BB. The MACD and RSI turned up nicely. We still want to see that 30-day MA turn up!

Let's see what the intraday chart is saying: The intraday indicators show that there is still some more room to go up! Let's see if we have enough momentum to break through that resistance around 2457. (The other major indices show similar near-term patterns.)

GOOG, with an announcement of a satellite TV ad deal with EchoStar, had a great day, which probably helped spark the market rally also!.

GOOG caught the upper BB today and is ready to ride it up! MACD, RSI, MFI all turned up, and the buying volume was high!

RIMM had a similar day as GOOG, and it is reporting on 4/11. RIMM also caught up with its upper BB with technical indicators going up nicely!

So, tomorrow, we'll need to see the major indices break their immediate resistance levels. Then, we can hope to retest the highs set in February!

3/26/07 Review: Nasdaq, SPX, SOX, GOOG, AAPL, RIMM

It was a nice day for the markets. We survived the new housing data and the bulls rallied Nasdaq all the way to finish green! This showed that there's a lot of money standing on the sideline, ready to come in.

The Nasdaq closed right at resistance. It needs to catch the upper BB and start turning it up. Similar charts exist for other major indices, for example, SPX.
I'd really like to see a strong rally in the techs tomorrow and push the upper BB up and open. This should also start to turn that 20-day MA.

The SOX basically had a flat day. Nice come back, though. Still waiting to see if the tailend of the "W" pattern would take off. The MACD is going up nicely, but, we really, really, need to see the MAs turn up! If the SOX rallies tomorrow, the markets should be pretty strong.

GOOG had another nice day. It closed right at the resistance and have caught the upper BB, which opened up the door for a big rally tomorrow. The MAs are behaving nicely: 10-day MA has has crossed above the 20-day MA; the 20-day MA is flattening; and, the 30-day MA has already turned up. All great signs!

AAPL had another strong day. It's been riding the upper BB for days. Today, it sailed right past the resistance at 95. Although it might be starting to look a bit toppy, the strong volume today and the fact that 52-wk high is not that far away, I think AAPL can still continue this run.

RIMM had a strong day today. I've been patiently waiting for RIMM to sort out this resistance at 137 (see post on 3/22/07). It dropped below 137 in the morning and created much more room on its intraday charts. When the market rallied, so did RIMM. When it went above 137 again, I thought it could be time for it to break out.
RIMM closed basically at 139, well above 137. The upper BB is very close. At about 140, it would have caught the upper BB and gone past the only major resistance left. The MACD has just turned positive. So, with a little more push, we might see RIMM at new highs very soon.

So, a very good day overall, and, if we get a strong rally tomorrow, the major indices would probably all catch the upper BB and be in the breakout mode. We certainly need the SOX to have a strong day. If the SOX starts to rally early, it would be a good sign!

3/22/2007 Review: Nasdaq, SP 500, GOOG, RIMM, telecoms, semi-conductors, metals, oils

We did pretty well today. The DOW managed to close green. As I pointed out last night, the intraday charts were toppy, and it did turn out to be a choppy day. Let's see where we are now:

The Nasdaq needs to manage to close above 2455; it would be a bullish note and would set up for the re-test of 2500! I would like to see the 20-day MA (yellow line) to start turning up. Notice the BB are closing in.

Let's take a look at the broader markets, SP 500:

The chart looks similar to that of the Nasdaq, but, the upper BB is much closer. If SPX manages to break 1438, it has a good chance to catch the upper BB and perhaps break out higher!

GOOG did very well today, up 5+ points!

GOOG closed above the 30-day MA today! Go Google!! I think it will test 465 tomorrow. The MACD is going up nicely and the volume is very good. The intraday charts (not shown) are still toppy. If GOOG can mange to close between 460-465, and allow the intraday charts to let off some steam, it would be very good. The upper BB is very close. If GOOG can take a little rest, and break higher next week, it may be able to catch the upper BB and run with it!

I wanted to take a look at RIMM because I think some bullish opportunities are shaping up! RIMM has been caught between 130-137 for a couple of weeks, but, it made some good advances today:

It tested 137 intraday, but, closed below it. The buying volume was nice, and the MACD and MFI are both curving up!
But, the intraday charts are toppy. I think if RIMM holds 135-137 while allowing the intraday charts to take a break, we may see good bullish opportunities next week. If RIMM re-tests 137 and is able to break it with strength, we may see new highs very soon!

So, we are at a place very similar to last night: the intraday charts are still toppy. We certainly need the telecoms and the semi-conductors to participate in the rallies. The metals and the oils, especially the oils, still look strong.

One important note is that, for most of the indices, the BBs are closing in on the daily chart. We may see a couple of more days of consolidation. But, the upper BBs are all pretty close. So, if the markets take a small rest and rally again, they may just catch the upper BBs and break higher!

3/21/2007 Review: Nasdaq, SMH, SOX, GOOG, AKAM, WFR, FFIV, RIMM, LVS, UNH

It was a great day!! Thanks Feds! Let the bulls run!! I tried to stay positive since I started this blog on Sunday 3/18, hoping that the Feds will help spark a broad-based rally. Or, maybe the bulls are just looking for an excuse to rally. A few days before the selloff at the end of February, I read an article somewhere (forgot where), which said that we needed a sharp, quick correction before going even higher. So, when the selloff came, and it came sharp and fast, I was convinced that we are going to bounce off and head for even higher grounds. Let's hope that this is what's ahead of us.

Let's take a look at Nasdaq:

Nasdaq closed above all 10, 20, and 30-day MAs. I would very much like to see the 20-day MA start to turn up. Nasdaq's MACD got a big jump up today! Nice!

We talked about the semi-conductors for the past few days and looked at SMH. SMH did well today, but, SOX did even better!

SOX's chart looks really good. It closed above all MAs, and the MAs are curving up! MACD turned positive and the upper BB has already opened up. We really need this sector and the telecoms to continue to rally to help boost Nasdaq up!


Last night, I was looking for GOOG to make a big jump and go above the MAs. It "almost" did that today.

GOOG closed right at the 30-day MA. The MACD turned positive and we have a pretty good up volume. Hopefully, it'll try to break 465 this week. If GOOG catches the upper BB, it can fly!

AKAM has been taking things slowly, and, it finally woke up today.Like GOOG, it also closed right at the 30-day MA. It needs to break 55 and catch the upper BB. MACD, MFI, RSI are all good; the best thing is the "big" volume today!

UNH has been toying with the resistance at around 54.1 for a long time. It finally broke out today!

UNH also caught the upper BB today, so, I think it'll go up more in the days to come! The volume was also good today.


Last night, when I looked at POT, I thought POT would try for 166 today. It did well, but, didn't quite make it to 166. Its MACD just turned positive and the upper BB is not too far away. Its intraday charts are a bit toppy. Hopefully, it will be able to hold the present gains and try to break 166 next week.

WFR went crazy today, toppying 61!! That's over 6 points and a 12% gain in 2 days! RIMM also made a jump today. FFIV has made a nice advance.

So, after a big day like this, many of the intraday charts are getting toppy. We might have some choppiness tomorrow. But, I hope the bulls will be able to pull out some follow-throughs. I'm looking for Nasdaq to test 2500 sometime next week. If the SOX runs with strength, it could easily catch the upper BB around 490 and break out!